Morning Briefing
23rd October 2026, 9:37AM HKT
⚠ Meta and Tesla reignited AI-spending fears: Meta raised its capex guidance to $135-145 billion and took a $9.89 billion litigation charge, and Lam Research flagged supply constraints. The Nasdaq 100 fell 2.90% and the US chip ETF 6.8%
⚠ Brent jumped about 4% to $113 after reports that the US and Israel plan fresh strikes on Iran after the midterms, and Iran's IRGC warned it could invade neighbouring countries. The US ordered non-emergency staff to leave Saudi Arabia
πŸ›‘ A flight to safety pushed the US 10-year yield down about 12bp to near 5.0%, while defensives held the Dow flat: Procter & Gamble had its best day since 2020 on strong results
Market Overview
  • US stocks fell: the S&P 500 lost 1.21% to 7,663.43, its biggest drop since late July, and the Nasdaq 100 2.90%. The Dow ended flat (+0.02%) and the Russell 2000 edged up 0.11% as investors rotated into staples and utilities.
  • Meta fell 5-8% on its higher capex outlook and settlement charge, and Tesla slid after weaker Q3 results and lower spending plans. Lam Research (-11.76%), Coherent, Lumentum and Teradyne led chip losses, and Moderna plunged 17.57%.
  • Europe slid: the Euro Stoxx 50 fell 1.94%, the CAC 40 1.39% and the DAX 1.07%. Nokia (-9.72%), Siemens Energy and Infineon led losses, Hermes fell on weak Asia-Pacific sales, and miners dropped as metals fell.
  • Asia's selloff deepened on Thursday: the Nikkei fell 2.65%, the KOSPI about 3% and the Hang Seng 3.03%. The Nikkei is down a further 1.85% and the KOSPI 2.01% in early trade today.
  • Gold fell sharply on inflation worries from higher oil and is at $4,011.33 this morning. Weekly jobless claims unexpectedly fell, and the Fed is expected to hold rates at next week's meeting.
Asset Class Snapshot
Major US Index
Nasdaq 100
-2.90%
Major European Index
EURO STOXX 50
-1.94%
Major Asian Index
Hang Seng
-3.03%
Bond Yields
Germany Bund 10Y
-2.54%
Risk Indicators
US-Iran Escalation and Gulf Oil Supply
AI Capex and Big Tech Earnings Doubts
Asian Equity Selloff (Hong Kong, Korea, Japan)
French Sovereign Stress (Moody's Review Today)
Fed Meeting Next Week
Defensive Earnings Strength (P&G, Allegion)
Source: Bloomberg, TradingView
πŸ“Š Thursday 22 October 2026 close β€” the Nasdaq slides as Meta and Tesla revive AI-spending fears, while the Dow holds flat on defensives
US Indices
S&P 500
7,663.43
-1.21%
Dow Jones
52,867.98
+0.02%
Nasdaq 100
28,958.69
-2.90%
Russell 2000
2,784.03
+0.11%
Today: flash PMIs (21:45 HKT) and final University of Michigan sentiment (22:00 HKT). The FOMC decision is on 29 October (02:00 HKT), and markets broadly expect a hold.
  • Meta raised the low end of its 2026 capex guidance by $5 billion to $135-145 billion, took a $9.89 billion teen mental-health litigation charge, and announced a new class of non-voting shares. Tesla reported lower Q3 earnings and cut spending plans. Fifteen of the 20 worst performers among $200 billion-plus companies were tech names.
  • Lam Research sank 11.76% after flagging supply-chain constraints and lower China sales, dragging Coherent, Lumentum, Flex, Teradyne and Astera Labs. Nvidia (-4.40%), Amazon and Caterpillar weighed on the Dow, and Moderna fell 17.57%.
  • Defensives and earnings beats offset some losses: Procter & Gamble rose 5.58% on a Q1 beat, Allegion (+11.02%) raised guidance, and Roper, Lennar, Blackstone and General Mills rallied. Apple rose as investors sought an AI haven, and Lockheed Martin and Spotify gained on results.
S&P 500 Heatmap
Top 5 Movers – S&P 500
Gainers
ALLE
176.52
+11.02%
ROP
436.23
+9.73%
LEN
84.45
+8.69%
BX
118.75
+8.38%
GIS
35.18
+8.01%
Losers
FLEX
76.69
-11.08%
LITE
752.54
-11.54%
LRCX
230.15
-11.76%
COHR
207.82
-12.51%
MRNA
202.63
-17.57%
Top 5 Movers – Dow Jones
Gainers
PG
165.59
+5.58%
HD
327.73
+4.33%
JNJ
267.61
+3.81%
CRM
250.29
+3.52%
KO
95.34
+2.87%
Losers
BA
187.55
-2.46%
GOOGL
324.22
-3.15%
NVDA
212.21
-4.40%
AMZN
250.38
-4.57%
CAT
704.05
-4.89%
Top 5 Movers – Nasdaq 100
Gainers
ROP
436.23
+9.73%
TRI
123.26
+6.94%
CSX
51.67
+6.76%
ADBE
270.55
+6.07%
INTU
354.90
+5.75%
Losers
TER
308.75
-10.63%
ALAB
257.82
-11.11%
LITE
752.54
-11.54%
LRCX
230.15
-11.76%
MRNA
202.63
-17.57%
Source: Bloomberg, TradingView
πŸ“Š Thursday 22 October 2026 close β€” European stocks follow the global selloff as tech, miners and luxury slide
European Indices
EURO STOXX 50
6,087.01
-1.94%
FTSE 100
10,725.03
-0.26%
DAX
25,371.75
-1.07%
CAC 40
7,811.26
-1.39%
Today: Eurozone flash PMIs (16:00 HKT) and Moody's rating review of France. The ECB decision is on 29 October.
  • The Stoxx 600 fell about 1%. Nokia dropped 9.72% despite a Q3 profit beat, Siemens Energy (-8.56%), Infineon, Schneider and ASML fell with the AI selloff, and Hermes slid about 5% on disappointing Asia-Pacific sales. Basic resources fell 3.3% as copper and gold dropped.
  • Defensives and earnings provided some support: SAP rose 3.21% after its results, Deutsche Boerse, Deutsche Telekom, Danone and AB InBev gained, and Qiagen jumped 4.94% on a €10.8 billion takeover offer from EQT. Nestle rose on strong organic growth.
  • The FTSE 100 fell just 0.26% on its defensive tilt, though Barclays dropped 2.3% after weak investment bank revenue and plans to cut about 5,000 jobs. Eurozone consumer confidence fell to -17.9 (-17.0 expected).
Top 5 Movers – EURO STOXX 50
Gainers
SAP GY
215.35
+3.21%
DB1 GY
317.20
+2.99%
DTE GY
26.18
+2.67%
BN FP
62.38
+2.56%
ABI BB
75.82
+2.49%
Losers
ASML NA
1,419.60
-4.97%
SU FP
235.75
-5.36%
IFX GY
49.89
-6.04%
ENR GY
122.20
-8.56%
NOKIA FH
7.43
-9.72%
Source: Bloomberg, TradingView
πŸ“Š Friday 23 October 2026 β€” Nikkei 225 and KOSPI as of early trade; Hang Seng, Shanghai Composite, Nifty 50 and TAIEX reflect Thursday's close
Asian Indices
Nikkei 225
61,765.53
-1.85%
Hang Seng
22,934.68
-3.03%
Shanghai Comp.
3,658.03
-1.48%
KOSPI
5,419.00
-2.01%
Nifty 50
22,687.65
-0.54%
TAIEX
46,041.43
-1.80%
Today: Japan's September national CPI (07:30 HKT) and October flash PMIs (08:30 HKT). China's industrial profits are due Tuesday.
  • The Nikkei 225 is down 1.85% at 61,765.53 after falling 2.65% on Thursday. Banks Resona (-7.67%) and Chiba Bank, along with Mitsui Kinzoku, Sumco and TDK, lead losses, while defensives Sapporo, Aeon, Kikkoman and Chugai Pharma gain.
  • The Hang Seng fell 3.03% to 22,934.68 on Thursday, and Morgan Stanley said Hong Kong stocks have yet to reach a valuation bottom. The Shanghai Composite fell 1.48%, the TAIEX 1.80% and India's Nifty 50 0.54%.
  • The KOSPI is down 2.01% at 5,419.00 in early trade after a roughly 3% drop on Thursday, as chip stocks track the US semiconductor selloff.
Top 5 Movers – Nikkei 225
Gainers
2501 Sapporo
2,065.50
+4.98%
8267 Aeon
1,176.50
+4.11%
3092 ZOZO
1,278.50
+4.03%
4519 Chugai Pharma
6,862.00
+3.72%
2801 Kikkoman
1,875.50
+3.30%
Losers
8331 Chiba Bank
2,299.50
-6.81%
6762 TDK
2,588.50
-6.96%
3436 Sumco
2,220.50
-7.08%
5706 Mitsui Kinzoku
1,954.50
-7.46%
8308 Resona
2,041.00
-7.67%
Top 5 Movers – Hang Seng Index
Gainers
300 Midea-H
93.60
+3.46%
1044 Hengan Intl
19.50
+3.25%
322 Tingyi
12.21
+2.69%
941 China Mobile
77.35
+2.42%
291 China Res. Beer
18.86
+2.14%
Losers
3692 Hansoh Pharma
31.86
-3.28%
2269 WuXi Biologics
45.26
-3.59%
1801 Innovent
81.60
-3.66%
1347 Hua Hong Semi
66.55
-3.78%
992 Lenovo
23.16
-4.55%
Source: Bloomberg, TradingView
Government Bond Yields
US 2Y Treasury
4.66%
-0.04%
US 5Y Treasury
4.78%
-0.05%
US 10Y Treasury
4.96%
-0.08%
US 30Y Treasury
5.29%
-0.06%
UK Gilts 10Y
5.33%
-0.99%
Germany Bund 10Y
3.33%
-2.54%
China 10Y
1.63%
+0.01%
Japan 10Y
2.76%
+0.79%
% change for US, China and Japan reflects the move in bond price; for UK Gilts and German Bunds it reflects the move in yield.
  • Treasuries rallied on haven demand: the 10-year fell about 12bp to near 5.0% and the 2-year about 10bp to 4.72% on Thursday. This morning the 10-year is at 4.96%, the 2-year at 4.66% and the 30-year at 5.29%. Lower-than-expected jobless claims support a Fed hold next week.
  • European bonds rallied too: the Bund yield fell 2.54% to 3.33% and the 10-year gilt 0.99% to 5.33%. The JGB 10-year fell to 2.76%. French bonds are in focus ahead of today's Moody's review.
Source: Bloomberg, TradingView
Currency Markets
Dollar Index (DXY)
101.55
-0.05%
EUR/USD
1.1221
+0.04%
GBP/USD
1.3404
+0.02%
USD/JPY
156.55
+0.13%
AUD/USD
0.7022
+0.03%
NZD/USD
0.5693
+0.16%
USD/CAD
1.4001
+0.06%
USD/CHF
0.8201
+0.05%
USD/CNH
6.6723
0.00%
USD/SGD
1.2771
+0.03%
USD/INR
94.8262
0.00%
USD/IDR
18,059.5
0.00%
USD/PHP
63.435
+0.14%
  • The dollar index is at 101.55 (-0.05%) as falling Treasury yields offset haven demand.
  • The yen led G10 currencies on Thursday as a haven, and USD/JPY is at 156.55, down from about 158 earlier in the week. The Swiss franc also firmed, with USD/CHF at 0.8201. EUR/USD is at 1.1221 and GBP/USD at 1.3404.
Source: Bloomberg, TradingView
Commodities & Energy
Gold Spot ($/oz)
4,011.33
-0.33%
Silver Spot ($/oz)
54.07
-0.89%
WTI Crude ($/bbl)
99.77
+0.34%
Brent Crude ($/bbl)
113.61
+0.39%
On Thursday, Brent jumped about 4% to $113.43 and WTI 2.4% to $99.46. A drone attack on Saudi Aramco's Shaybah oil field killed two people, and the IRGC warned Iran could invade neighbours and hit US bases if attacked again.
  • Oil is extending gains this morning, with Brent up 0.39% at $113.61 and WTI up 0.34% at $99.77, near five-month highs, as the US-Iran conflict risks further escalation.
  • Gold fell on Thursday as higher oil revived inflation fears ahead of the Fed meeting, and is at $4,011.33/oz (-0.33%) this morning. Silver is 0.89% lower at $54.07/oz, and copper fell more than 1.5% on AI-demand worries.
Source: Bloomberg, TradingView
Economic Calendar
Thursday, 22 October 2026 β€” Results
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
Initial Jobless Claims
20:30 HKT
Unexpectedly fell
πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί
Consumer Confidence (Oct, flash)
22:00 HKT
Actual: -17.9Fcst: -17.0Prev: -16.8 (rev)
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
Leading Index (MoM) (Sep)
22:00 HKT
Prev: -0.1%
Friday, 23 October 2026 β€” Today
πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅
National Core CPI (YoY) (Sep)
07:30 HKT
Prev: 1.7%
πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅
National CPI (YoY) (Sep)
07:30 HKT
Prev: 1.9%
πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅
Manufacturing PMI (Oct, flash)
08:30 HKT
Prev: 54.1
πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί
HCOB Composite PMI (Oct, flash)
16:00 HKT
Prev: 53.1
πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί
HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Oct, flash)
16:00 HKT
Prev: 52.9
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
S&P Global Composite PMI (Oct, flash)
21:45 HKT
Prev: 58.4
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Oct, final)
22:00 HKT
Prev: 46.3
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations (Oct, final)
22:00 HKT
Prev: 4.7%
Monday, 26 October 2026
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
Chicago Fed National Activity (Sep)
20:30 HKT
Prev: -0.04
Tuesday, 27 October 2026
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³
Industrial Profits YTD (Sep)
09:30 HKT
Prev: 15.7%
πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί
M3 Money Supply (YoY) (Sep)
17:00 HKT
Prev: 3.5%
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Sep)
20:30 HKT
Prev: -0.1%
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
CB Consumer Confidence (Oct)
22:00 HKT
Prev: 81.9
Thursday, 29 October 2026
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
Fed Interest Rate Decision
02:00 HKT
Prev: 4.00%
Source: Bloomberg, TradingView
Disclaimers

This material is provided for informational and reference purposes only to the intended recipients and does not constitute an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to enter into any transaction in securities, nor does it constitute investment advice.


The information contained in this publication only reflects current market conditions and the judgment of Ethivo Asset Management (HK) Limited (the “Ethivo”) on the date of compilation. It does not represent an accurate forecast of individual securities or market trends, and judgments are subject to change at any time without prior notice. Certain information or data in this document has been obtained from unaffiliated third parties; Ethivo has reasonable belief that such information or data is accurate, complete and up to the date as indicated, but Ethivo makes no warranty or representation as to the completeness and accuracy of data and information sourced from such unaffiliated third parties. Ethivo, nor its shareholders, directors and employees shall not be liable for any errors or omissions in the information provided in this material, and Ethivo shall not be responsible for any loss incurred by any person as a result of reliance on or use of such information.


Investment involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future performance, future return is not guaranteed, and a loss of your original capital may occur. If necessary, you should seek independent professional advice. The material has been prepared and issued by Ethivo Asset Management (HK) Limited and has not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission.


This material is intended solely for distribution to professional investors and should not be distributed, circulated, or used by persons in any jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. No part of this publication may be reproduced, distributed, or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written consent of Ethivo.

Hang Seng Index
23,093.37
β–² +158.69
+0.69%
Shanghai Composite Index
3,690.48
β–² +32.45
+0.89%
Nikkei 225
62,693.16
β–Ό -214.68
-0.34%
KOSPI Index
5,550.30
β–² +16.53
+0.30%
ASX (S&P/ASX 200 INDEX)
8,795.23
β–² +1.98
+0.02%
Straits Times Index STI
5,417.62
β–² +2.48
+0.05%
Key Market Drivers
  • Chinese stocks swung into gains as turnover in a basket of nine ETFs favored by the "national team" reached 84 billion yuan, the most since July 20, lifting the Shanghai Composite in the afternoon session.
  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose, led by aluminum and EV names, with Aluminum Corp. of China Class H jumping 6.97% and BYD Co. Class H gaining 6.23%.
  • The Nikkei 225 fell as a chip-led selloff extended following mixed US tech earnings, with semiconductor-related names such as TDK and Sumco among the worst performers.
  • Japanese bank shares dropped as a sharp fall in long-term bond yields fueled concerns that lenders' interest margins would be squeezed.
Source: Bloomberg
Top 5 Movers – Nikkei 225
Gainers
MERCARI INC3,704.00+7.33%
AEON CO LTD1,181.00+4.51%
SHISEIDO CO LTD3,709.00+3.92%
MITSUBISHI ESTATE CO LTD3,878.00+2.76%
CHUGAI PHARMACEUTICAL CO LTD6,795.00+2.74%
Losers
TDK CORP2,624.50-5.61%
HITACHI LTD5,562.00-4.37%
CHIBA BANK LTD/THE2,371.50-3.87%
TAIYO YUDEN CO LTD8,364.00-3.86%
NITTO DENKO CORP3,568.00-3.80%
Top 5 Movers – Hang Seng Index
Gainers
ALUMINUM CORP OF CHINA LTD-H7.14+6.97%
BYD CO LTD-H71.60+6.23%
CHINA HONGQIAO GROUP LTD19.02+5.55%
CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHN-H356.80+5.44%
SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY63.15+4.99%
Losers
LENOVO GROUP LTD22.64-2.25%
BOC HONG KONG HOLDINGS LTD48.88-1.57%
IND & COMM BK OF CHINA-H7.24-1.50%
CHINA MERCHANTS BANK-H51.45-1.25%
CHINA UNICOM HONG KONG LTD5.20-1.23%
Source: Bloomberg
Latest Headlines
China Stocks Rebound as National Team ETF Buying Picks Up
The CSI 300 Index climbed in the afternoon session and closed 1.7% higher, erasing a drop of as much as 1.9%, after turnover in a basket of ETFs favored by the national team reached 84 billion yuan.
Hang Seng Index Rises 0.69%; Commerce and Industry, Chalco Class H Lead
The Hang Seng Index rose 0.69% to 23,093.37 as commerce and industry stocks led the market higher, with Aluminum Corp. of China Class H posting the biggest gain at 6.97%.
Nikkei Falls 0.34% as Chip-Led Selloff Extends; TDK Leads Declines
The Nikkei fell 0.34% to 62,693.16 as investors continued to avoid chipmakers and AI-related shares following mixed signals from US tech earnings.
Japan Bank Shares Fall as Lower Bond Yields Spur Profit Concerns
Japanese bank shares including Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group fell as a sharp drop in long-term bond yields fueled concerns that lenders' interest margins would be squeezed.
Source: Bloomberg
Disclaimers
This material is provided for informational and reference purposes only to the intended recipients and does not constitute an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to enter into any transaction in securities, nor does it constitute investment advice.
The information contained in this publication only reflects current market conditions and the judgment of Ethivo Asset Management (HK) Limited (the “Ethivo”) on the date of compilation. It does not represent an accurate forecast of individual securities or market trends, and judgments are subject to change at any time without prior notice. Certain information or data in this document has been obtained from unaffiliated third parties; Ethivo has reasonable belief that such information or data is accurate, complete and up to the date as indicated, but Ethivo makes no warranty or representation as to the completeness and accuracy of data and information sourced from such unaffiliated third parties. Ethivo, nor its shareholders, directors and employees shall not be liable for any errors or omissions in the information provided in this material, and Ethivo shall not be responsible for any loss incurred by any person as a result of reliance on or use of such information.
Investment involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future performance, future return is not guaranteed, and a loss of your original capital may occur. If necessary, you should seek independent professional advice. The material has been prepared and issued by Ethivo Asset Management (HK) Limited and has not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission.
This material is intended solely for distribution to professional investors and should not be distributed, circulated, or used by persons in any jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation. No part of this publication may be reproduced, distributed, or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written consent of Ethivo.